Arizona at 
Iowa State
Saturday, January 2 · · Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA · ESPN · Big 12
This site's rating makes Iowa State a 55% favorite, by about 1 point.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 1 today |
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
What it is worth
Arizona
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 2.4 | 39% | 89% | 99% |
| If Iowa State wins | 2.9 | 25% | 84% | 98% |
| If Arizona wins | 1.9 | 55% | 94% | >99% |
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 3.0 | 26% | 80% | 97% |
| If Iowa State wins | 2.5 | 38% | 87% | 99% |
| If Arizona wins | 3.7 | 11% | 72% | 96% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.