UCF at
Arizona State
Saturday, January 9 · time TBD · Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ · Big 12
This site's rating makes Arizona State a 55% favorite, by about 1 point.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 14 today | |
| 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 2 today |
What it is worth
UCF
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 10.3 | <1% | 5% | 30% |
| If Arizona State wins | 11.1 | <1% | 3% | 22% |
| If UCF wins | 9.4 | <1% | 7% | 39% |
Arizona State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 12.0 | <1% | 2% | 15% |
| If Arizona State wins | 11.3 | <1% | 2% | 20% |
| If UCF wins | 12.8 | <1% | 1% | 9% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.