TCU at 
Cincinnati
Tuesday, January 12 · · Fifth Third Arena, Cincinnati, OH · CBSSN · Big 12
This site's rating makes Cincinnati a 61% favorite, by about 3 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| TCU | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 12 today |
| Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 5 today |
What it is worth
TCU
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.6 | 1% | 12% | 50% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 9.3 | <1% | 8% | 42% |
| If TCU wins | 7.5 | 1% | 19% | 64% |
Cincinnati
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.7 | 1% | 12% | 49% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 8.1 | 1% | 15% | 57% |
| If TCU wins | 9.7 | <1% | 6% | 37% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.