Iowa State at 
UCF
Saturday, January 23 · · Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL · Big 12
This site's rating makes Iowa State a 68% favorite, by about 5 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
| UCF | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 14 today |
What it is worth
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 3.0 | 26% | 80% | 97% |
| If UCF wins | 3.6 | 18% | 71% | 95% |
| If Iowa State wins | 2.8 | 30% | 84% | 99% |
UCF
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 10.3 | <1% | 5% | 30% |
| If UCF wins | 9.3 | 1% | 9% | 41% |
| If Iowa State wins | 10.8 | <1% | 3% | 24% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.