Houston at 
Arizona State
Saturday, January 23 · time TBD · Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ · Big 12
This site's rating makes Houston a 72% favorite, by about 6 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Houston | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 7 today |
| Arizona State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 2 today |
What it is worth
Houston
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 3.5 | 20% | 74% | 96% |
| If Arizona State wins | 4.1 | 14% | 64% | 92% |
| If Houston wins | 3.2 | 23% | 78% | 97% |
Arizona State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 12.0 | <1% | 2% | 15% |
| If Arizona State wins | 11.0 | <1% | 4% | 24% |
| If Houston wins | 12.4 | <1% | 1% | 11% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.