Arizona State at 
Cincinnati
Saturday, January 30 · · Fifth Third Arena, Cincinnati, OH · Peacock · Big 12
This site's rating makes Cincinnati a 71% favorite, by about 6 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 2 today |
| Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 5 today |
What it is worth
Arizona State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 12.0 | <1% | 2% | 15% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 12.5 | <1% | 1% | 11% |
| If Arizona State wins | 10.9 | <1% | 3% | 24% |
Cincinnati
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.7 | 1% | 12% | 49% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 8.2 | 1% | 14% | 55% |
| If Arizona State wins | 9.9 | <1% | 7% | 35% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.