Utah at 
Iowa State
Tuesday, February 2 · · Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA · TNT · Big 12
This site's rating makes Iowa State a 92% favorite, by about 15 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Utah | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 15 today |
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
What it is worth
Utah
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 13.7 | — | <1% | 5% |
| If Iowa State wins | 13.8 | — | <1% | 4% |
| If Utah wins | 12.6 | — | 1% | 9% |
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 3.0 | 26% | 80% | 97% |
| If Iowa State wins | 3.0 | 27% | 81% | 98% |
| If Utah wins | 3.9 | 14% | 68% | 93% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.