UCF at 
Cincinnati
Saturday, February 13 · time TBD · Fifth Third Arena, Cincinnati, OH · Big 12
This site's rating makes Cincinnati a 66% favorite, by about 4 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| UCF | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 14 today |
| Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 5 today |
What it is worth
UCF
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 10.3 | <1% | 5% | 30% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 10.9 | <1% | 3% | 23% |
| If UCF wins | 9.2 | <1% | 9% | 42% |
Cincinnati
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.7 | 1% | 12% | 49% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 8.1 | 1% | 15% | 56% |
| If UCF wins | 9.8 | <1% | 6% | 36% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.