Cincinnati at 
Iowa State
Tuesday, February 16 · · Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA · Peacock · Big 12
This site's rating makes Iowa State a 81% favorite, by about 10 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 5 today |
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
What it is worth
Cincinnati
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.7 | 1% | 12% | 49% |
| If Iowa State wins | 9.0 | <1% | 9% | 46% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 7.3 | 2% | 23% | 65% |
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 3.0 | 26% | 80% | 97% |
| If Iowa State wins | 2.9 | 28% | 83% | 98% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 3.9 | 16% | 67% | 94% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.