Iowa State at 
Arizona State
Friday, February 19 · · Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ · FS1 · Big 12
This site's rating makes Iowa State a 73% favorite, by about 7 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
| Arizona State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 2 today |
What it is worth
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 3.0 | 26% | 80% | 97% |
| If Arizona State wins | 3.7 | 17% | 71% | 95% |
| If Iowa State wins | 2.8 | 30% | 84% | 98% |
Arizona State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 12.0 | <1% | 2% | 15% |
| If Arizona State wins | 11.1 | <1% | 4% | 22% |
| If Iowa State wins | 12.3 | <1% | 1% | 12% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.