Utah at 
Arizona State
Tuesday, February 23 · · Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ · ESPN2 · Big 12
This site's rating makes Arizona State a 70% favorite, by about 6 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Utah | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 15 today |
| Arizona State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 2 today |
What it is worth
Utah
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 13.7 | — | <1% | 5% |
| If Arizona State wins | 14.1 | — | <1% | 3% |
| If Utah wins | 12.8 | — | <1% | 8% |
Arizona State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 12.0 | <1% | 2% | 15% |
| If Arizona State wins | 11.5 | <1% | 2% | 18% |
| If Utah wins | 13.1 | — | 1% | 9% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.