Iowa State at 
Baylor
Tuesday, February 23 · · Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX · Big 12
This site's rating makes Iowa State a 64% favorite, by about 4 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
| Baylor | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 4 today |
What it is worth
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 3.0 | 26% | 80% | 97% |
| If Baylor wins | 3.6 | 18% | 71% | 95% |
| If Iowa State wins | 2.7 | 31% | 85% | 99% |
Baylor
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.8 | 1% | 11% | 48% |
| If Baylor wins | 7.8 | 1% | 17% | 59% |
| If Iowa State wins | 9.4 | <1% | 7% | 42% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.