Baylor at 
Arizona
Saturday, February 27 · · McKale Memorial Center, Tucson, AZ · CBS · Big 12
This site's rating makes Arizona a 85% favorite, by about 12 points.
What it is worth
Baylor
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.8 | 1% | 11% | 48% |
| If Arizona wins | 9.0 | <1% | 9% | 46% |
| If Baylor wins | 7.5 | 2% | 20% | 62% |
Arizona
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 2.4 | 39% | 89% | 99% |
| If Arizona wins | 2.3 | 41% | 90% | 99% |
| If Baylor wins | 3.1 | 27% | 80% | 97% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.