Houston at 
Cincinnati
Tuesday, March 2 · · Fifth Third Arena, Cincinnati, OH · Peacock · Big 12
This site's rating makes Houston a 62% favorite, by about 3 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Houston | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 7 today |
| Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 5 today |
What it is worth
Houston
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 3.5 | 20% | 74% | 96% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 4.1 | 14% | 64% | 93% |
| If Houston wins | 3.1 | 25% | 80% | 98% |
Cincinnati
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.7 | 1% | 12% | 49% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 7.7 | 2% | 19% | 61% |
| If Houston wins | 9.3 | <1% | 7% | 42% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.