Kansas State at 
UCF
Wednesday, March 3 · time TBD · Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL · Big 12
This site's rating makes UCF a 70% favorite, by about 6 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 10 today |
| UCF | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 14 today |
What it is worth
Kansas State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 12.9 | <1% | 1% | 9% |
| If UCF wins | 13.4 | <1% | <1% | 6% |
| If Kansas State wins | 11.8 | <1% | 2% | 16% |
UCF
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 10.3 | <1% | 5% | 30% |
| If UCF wins | 9.9 | <1% | 6% | 34% |
| If Kansas State wins | 11.3 | <1% | 3% | 20% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.