The market
Utah -9.5
spread
O/U 54.5
total
-410
Utah moneyline
+320
Arkansas
DraftKings via collegefootballdata.com, updated Aug 25, 3:49 AM ET.
The venue
Rice-Eccles Stadium Salt Lake City, UT
71°F
average temperature
5 mph
average wind
14%
of days see rain
Ten seasons at this venue for this two-week window — a fact about the place, not a forecast for the day.
What the models make it
SP+2026
Utah6.7
FPI2026
Utah6.6
Elo2025
Utah11.8
SRS2025
Utah13.7
Market
Utah9.5
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, DraftKings via collegefootballdata.com, updated Aug 25, 3:49 AM ET. Where that is last season, the rating is regressed toward the mean for how wrong a rating can be about a team this early. All 4 systems side with the favorite.