Nicholls at 
Kansas State non-confThe market
Kansas State -40.5
spread
O/U 55.5
total
DraftKings via collegefootballdata.com, updated Aug 25, 3:49 AM ET.
The venue
Bill Snyder Family Stadium Manhattan, KS
80°F
at kickoff
6 mph
wind
13%
chance of rain
Forecast for the hour of kickoff, via Open-Meteo.
What the models make it
SP+2026
Kansas State54.6
FPI2026
Kansas State36.8
Elo2025
Kansas State35.1
SRS2025
Kansas State26
Market
Kansas State40.5
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, DraftKings via collegefootballdata.com, updated Aug 25, 3:49 AM ET. Where that is last season, the rating is regressed toward the mean for how wrong a rating can be about a team this early. All 4 systems side with the favorite.