Iowa State at 
Iowa non-confThe market
Iowa -11.5
spread
O/U 41.5
total
-750
Iowa moneyline
+525
Iowa State
DraftKings via collegefootballdata.com, updated Aug 25, 3:49 AM ET.
The venue
Kinnick Stadium Iowa City, IA
69°F
average temperature
8 mph
average wind
31%
of days see rain
Ten seasons at this venue for this two-week window — a fact about the place, not a forecast for the day.
What the models make it
SP+2026
Iowa17.5
FPI2026
Iowa14
Elo2025
Iowa9.5
SRS2025
Iowa5.2
Market
Iowa11.5
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, DraftKings via collegefootballdata.com, updated Aug 25, 3:49 AM ET. Where that is last season, the rating is regressed toward the mean for how wrong a rating can be about a team this early. All 4 systems side with the favorite.