Big 12 Schedule 202620252024

Who plays whom, who misses whom, and what the unbalanced draw is worth. Nine conference games out of a possible fifteen.

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TNT

The market

West Virginia -1.5
spread
O/U 63.2
opened 61.8
-123
West Virginia moneyline
9 books
bookWVU spreadtotalML
BetMGM-262.5-120/+100
BetOnline.ag-163-120/+100
BetRivers-263.5-136/+110
BetUS-163-120/+100
Bovada-263.5-125/+105
DraftKings-1.563.5-122/+102
FanDuel-1.563.5-118/-102
LowVig.ag-163-120/+100
MyBookie.ag-1.563-122/+100

An average of 9 books via the-odds-api.com, updated Oct 15, 11:22 PM ET.

The venue

Milan Puskar Stadium Morgantown, WV
47°F
at kickoff
11 mph
wind
2%
chance of rain

Forecast for the hour of kickoff, via Open-Meteo.

What the models make it

SP+2026
Cincinnati3.4
FPI2026
Cincinnati1.5
Elo2026
Cincinnati2.8
SRS2026
West Virginia1.2
Big12ology2026
West Virginia4.2
Market
West Virginia1.5

Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, an average of 9 books via the-odds-api.com, updated Oct 15, 11:22 PM ET.

What it does to the race

2 points of a title-game berth change hands on this result
If West Virginia wins
If Cincinnati wins

Two teams reach the championship game — think of that as two berths. The rest of the season is played out ten thousand times with this result set and the season played around it; the percentages are how often each team ends up in a berth, and the arrow is the move from where they stand today. 100 points is a whole berth changing hands. Under the rule in each box are the teams that are not playing but whose own chance the result moves by a point or more.

From the same simulations the race card runs. 100 means a full berth's worth of probability moves on this result. Each pair is that team's chance in the two futures, not a move from where it stands now — today's number already contains both, weighted by who is likely to win.

The series

West Virginia 2–0 Cincinnati as conference opponents since 2011.

If these two finish level in the standings, step (a) of the tiebreaker is head-to-head — which is this game. It is the first thing that separates them, before any of the six steps below it are read.

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