The venue
McLane Stadium Waco, TX
71°F
at kickoff
11 mph
wind
10%
chance of rain
Forecast for the hour of kickoff, via Open-Meteo.
What the models make it
SP+2026
Baylor2.4
FPI2026
Baylor7.2
Elo2026
Baylor3.6
SRS2026
Baylor5.7
Big12ology2026
Baylor9.4
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, via collegefootballdata.com.
The series
Baylor 4–9 TCU as conference opponents since 2011.
If these two finish level in the standings, step (a) of the tiebreaker is head-to-head — which is this game. It is the first thing that separates them, before any of the six steps below it are read.