The venue
Mountain America Stadium Tempe, AZ
80°F
at kickoff
4 mph
wind
2%
chance of rain
Forecast for the hour of kickoff, via Open-Meteo.
What the models make it
SP+2026
Kansas State8.5
FPI2026
Kansas State6.6
Elo2026
Kansas State7.2
SRS2026
Kansas State4.8
Big12ology2026
Kansas State3.9
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, via collegefootballdata.com.
The series
Arizona State 1–0 Kansas State as conference opponents since 2011.
If these two finish level in the standings, step (a) of the tiebreaker is head-to-head — which is this game. It is the first thing that separates them, before any of the six steps below it are read.