Baylor at 
UCFThe venue
FBC Mortgage Stadium Orlando, FL
73°F
average temperature
7 mph
average wind
46%
of days see rain
Ten seasons at this venue for this two-week window — a fact about the place, not a forecast for the day.
What the models make it
SP+2026
UCF0.4
FPI2026
Baylor1.9
Elo2025
UCF0.6
SRS2025
UCF1.6
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, via collegefootballdata.com. Where that is last season, the rating is regressed toward the mean for how wrong a rating can be about a team this early.
The series
UCF 0–2 Baylor as conference opponents since 2011.
If these two finish level in the standings, step (a) of the tiebreaker is head-to-head — which is this game. It is the first thing that separates them, before any of the six steps below it are read.