The venue
FBC Mortgage Stadium Orlando, FL
72°F
at kickoff
5 mph
wind
35%
chance of rain
Forecast for the hour of kickoff, via Open-Meteo.
What the models make it
SP+2026
Baylor6.1
FPI2026
Baylor3.2
Elo2026
Baylor5.3
SRS2026
UCF4.2
Big12ology2026
UCF7.1
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, via collegefootballdata.com.
The series
UCF 0–2 Baylor as conference opponents since 2011.
If these two finish level in the standings, step (a) of the tiebreaker is head-to-head — which is this game. It is the first thing that separates them, before any of the six steps below it are read.