The venue
FBC Mortgage Stadium Orlando, FL
73°F
average temperature
7 mph
average wind
46%
of days see rain or snow
Ten seasons at this venue for this two-week window — a fact about the place, not a forecast for the day.
What the models make it
SP+2026
UCF3.1
FPI2026
Baylor2
Elo2026
Baylor3.7
SRS2026
UCF5.6
Big12ology2026
UCF8
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, via collegefootballdata.com.
The series
UCF 0–2 Baylor as conference opponents since 2011.
If these two finish level in the standings, step (a) of the tiebreaker is head-to-head — which is this game. It is the first thing that separates them, before any of the six steps below it are read.