The venue
Jack Trice Stadium Ames, IA
43°F
average temperature
10 mph
average wind
30%
of days see rain or snow
Ten seasons at this venue for this two-week window — a fact about the place, not a forecast for the day.
What the models make it
SP+2026
Cincinnati3.3
FPI2026
Iowa State3.2
Elo2026
Iowa State9.4
SRS2026
Iowa State6.7
Big12ology2026
Iowa State7.9
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, via collegefootballdata.com.
The series
Iowa State 2–1 Cincinnati as conference opponents since 2011.
If these two finish level in the standings, step (a) of the tiebreaker is head-to-head — which is this game. It is the first thing that separates them, before any of the six steps below it are read.