Kansas State at 
TCUThe venue
Amon G. Carter Stadium Fort Worth, TX
60°F
average temperature
8 mph
average wind
32%
of days see rain
Ten seasons at this venue for this two-week window — a fact about the place, not a forecast for the day.
What the models make it
SP+2026
TCU2.7
FPI2026
TCU3.8
Elo2025
TCU1.9
SRS2025
TCU3.3
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, via collegefootballdata.com. Where that is last season, the rating is regressed toward the mean for how wrong a rating can be about a team this early.
The series
TCU 5–7 Kansas State as conference opponents since 2011.
If these two finish level in the standings, step (a) of the tiebreaker is head-to-head — which is this game. It is the first thing that separates them, before any of the six steps below it are read.