Cincinnati at 
TCU
Sunday, December 20 · time TBD · Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX · Big 12
This site's rating makes TCU a 94% favorite, by about 17 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 5 today |
| TCU | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 12 today |
What it is worth
Cincinnati
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 13.0 | — | <1% | 4% |
| If TCU wins | 13.0 | — | <1% | 4% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 11.9 | — | 1% | 10% |
TCU
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 2.6 | 36% | 86% | 99% |
| If TCU wins | 2.5 | 36% | 87% | 99% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 3.4 | 23% | 72% | 97% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.