Cincinnati at 
Texas Tech
Tuesday, January 5 · time TBD · United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX · Big 12
This site's rating makes Texas Tech a 87% favorite, by about 13 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 5 today |
| Texas Tech | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 13 today |
What it is worth
Cincinnati
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 13.0 | — | <1% | 4% |
| If Texas Tech wins | 13.1 | — | <1% | 4% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 12.0 | — | 1% | 10% |
Texas Tech
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 5.8 | 4% | 36% | 82% |
| If Texas Tech wins | 5.7 | 4% | 38% | 84% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 6.9 | 1% | 25% | 70% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.