Arizona at 
Kansas State
Saturday, January 9 · time TBD · Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS · Big 12
This site's rating makes Kansas State a 79% favorite, by about 9 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 1 today |
| Kansas State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 10 today |
What it is worth
Arizona
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 13.6 | — | <1% | 2% |
| If Kansas State wins | 13.8 | — | <1% | 2% |
| If Arizona wins | 12.9 | — | <1% | 4% |
Kansas State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 9.4 | <1% | 6% | 36% |
| If Kansas State wins | 9.1 | <1% | 7% | 40% |
| If Arizona wins | 10.5 | <1% | 3% | 23% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.