Colorado at 
Cincinnati
Sunday, January 17 · · Fifth Third Arena, Cincinnati, OH · Big 12
This site's rating makes Colorado a 65% favorite, by about 4 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 6 today |
| Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 5 today |
What it is worth
Colorado
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 7.7 | 1% | 16% | 60% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 8.6 | <1% | 10% | 48% |
| If Colorado wins | 7.2 | 1% | 19% | 66% |
Cincinnati
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 13.0 | — | <1% | 4% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 12.2 | — | <1% | 8% |
| If Colorado wins | 13.3 | — | <1% | 2% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.