Iowa State at 
West Virginia
Saturday, January 23 · time TBD · Hope Coliseum, Morgantown, WV · Big 12
This site's rating makes West Virginia a 75% favorite, by about 7 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
| West Virginia | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 16 today |
What it is worth
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 5.4 | 6% | 42% | 84% |
| If West Virginia wins | 5.8 | 3% | 37% | 82% |
| If Iowa State wins | 4.4 | 15% | 58% | 91% |
West Virginia
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 2.6 | 36% | 86% | 99% |
| If West Virginia wins | 2.3 | 41% | 90% | 99% |
| If Iowa State wins | 3.3 | 21% | 75% | 98% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.