Houston at 
Iowa State
Wednesday, January 27 · time TBD · Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA · Big 12
This site's rating makes Iowa State a 93% favorite, by about 17 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Houston | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 7 today |
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
What it is worth
Houston
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 14.9 | — | — | <1% |
| If Iowa State wins | 15.0 | — | — | <1% |
| If Houston wins | 14.4 | — | — | <1% |
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 5.4 | 6% | 42% | 84% |
| If Iowa State wins | 5.4 | 6% | 43% | 85% |
| If Houston wins | 6.7 | 2% | 28% | 72% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.