Iowa State at 
Baylor
Saturday, January 30 · · Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX · FS1 · Big 12
This site's rating makes Baylor a 61% favorite, by about 3 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
| Baylor | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 4 today |
What it is worth
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 5.4 | 6% | 42% | 84% |
| If Baylor wins | 6.0 | 4% | 34% | 80% |
| If Iowa State wins | 4.6 | 10% | 55% | 91% |
Baylor
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 5.6 | 6% | 40% | 83% |
| If Baylor wins | 5.0 | 8% | 48% | 88% |
| If Iowa State wins | 6.6 | 2% | 26% | 74% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.