Cincinnati at 
Baylor
Wednesday, February 3 · time TBD · Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX · Big 12
This site's rating makes Baylor a 88% favorite, by about 13 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 5 today |
| Baylor | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 4 today |
What it is worth
Cincinnati
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 13.0 | — | <1% | 4% |
| If Baylor wins | 13.1 | — | <1% | 4% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 12.0 | — | 1% | 10% |
Baylor
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 5.6 | 6% | 40% | 83% |
| If Baylor wins | 5.5 | 6% | 41% | 84% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 6.7 | 2% | 28% | 71% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.