Utah at 
Iowa State
Wednesday, February 17 · time TBD · Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA · Big 12
This site's rating makes Iowa State a 80% favorite, by about 9 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Utah | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 15 today |
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
What it is worth
Utah
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 10.3 | <1% | 3% | 25% |
| If Iowa State wins | 10.6 | <1% | 2% | 21% |
| If Utah wins | 9.2 | — | 7% | 38% |
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 5.4 | 6% | 42% | 84% |
| If Iowa State wins | 5.2 | 7% | 46% | 87% |
| If Utah wins | 6.5 | 3% | 28% | 74% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.