Iowa State at 
UCF
Saturday, February 20 · time TBD · Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL · Big 12
This site's rating makes Iowa State a 78% favorite, by about 8 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
| UCF | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 14 today |
What it is worth
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 5.4 | 6% | 42% | 84% |
| If UCF wins | 6.4 | 3% | 30% | 75% |
| If Iowa State wins | 5.2 | 7% | 46% | 87% |
UCF
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 14.0 | — | <1% | 1% |
| If UCF wins | 13.3 | — | <1% | 4% |
| If Iowa State wins | 14.2 | — | <1% | 1% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.