Houston at 
Arizona
Saturday, February 6 · time TBD · McKale Memorial Center, Tucson, AZ · ESPN · Big 12
This site's rating makes Arizona a 68% favorite, by about 5 points.
The other meeting
- Arizona at Houston Big 12Sat Mar 6 · time TBD · ESPN
What it is worth
Houston
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 3.5 | 20% | 74% | 96% |
| If Arizona wins | 3.8 | 14% | 69% | 95% |
| If Houston wins | 2.8 | 34% | 84% | 98% |
Arizona
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 2.4 | 39% | 89% | 99% |
| If Arizona wins | 2.1 | 46% | 92% | 99% |
| If Houston wins | 3.1 | 23% | 81% | 98% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.