Cincinnati at 
HoustonThe venue
TDECU Stadium Houston, TX
65°F
average temperature
7 mph
average wind
45%
of days see rain
Ten seasons at this venue for this two-week window — a fact about the place, not a forecast for the day.
What the models make it
SP+2026
Houston6.9
FPI2026
Houston5.2
Elo2025
Houston3
SRS2025
Houston4.7
Predicted margin in points, each system carrying its own home-field bump. The year under a name is the season those ratings come from. The market row is the spread as it stands, via collegefootballdata.com. Where that is last season, the rating is regressed toward the mean for how wrong a rating can be about a team this early.
The series
Houston 0–2 Cincinnati as conference opponents since 2011.
If these two finish level in the standings, step (a) of the tiebreaker is head-to-head — which is this game. It is the first thing that separates them, before any of the six steps below it are read.