Arizona State at 
UCF
Saturday, January 2 · time TBD · Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL · Big 12
This site's rating makes Arizona State a 66% favorite, by about 4 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 2 today |
| UCF | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 14 today |
What it is worth
Arizona State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.6 | 1% | 11% | 47% |
| If UCF wins | 9.5 | <1% | 6% | 36% |
| If Arizona State wins | 8.1 | 1% | 14% | 52% |
UCF
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 14.0 | — | <1% | 1% |
| If UCF wins | 13.4 | — | <1% | 2% |
| If Arizona State wins | 14.3 | — | <1% | 1% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.