Iowa State at 
Arizona State
Wednesday, January 6 · time TBD · Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ · Big 12
This site's rating makes Iowa State a 54% favorite, by about 1 point.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 8 today |
| Arizona State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 2 today |
What it is worth
Iowa State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 5.4 | 6% | 42% | 84% |
| If Arizona State wins | 6.2 | 4% | 32% | 78% |
| If Iowa State wins | 4.8 | 8% | 51% | 90% |
Arizona State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.6 | 1% | 11% | 47% |
| If Arizona State wins | 7.8 | 1% | 17% | 57% |
| If Iowa State wins | 9.3 | <1% | 7% | 38% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.