Cincinnati at 
Arizona State
Saturday, February 13 · time TBD · Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ · Big 12
This site's rating makes Arizona State a 79% favorite, by about 9 points.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 5 today |
| Arizona State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 2 today |
What it is worth
Cincinnati
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 13.0 | — | <1% | 4% |
| If Arizona State wins | 13.2 | — | <1% | 3% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 12.0 | — | 1% | 9% |
Arizona State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.6 | 1% | 11% | 47% |
| If Arizona State wins | 8.3 | 1% | 13% | 50% |
| If Cincinnati wins | 9.6 | <1% | 6% | 35% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.