Baylor at 
Arizona State
Tuesday, February 16 · · Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ · FS1 · Big 12
This site's rating makes Baylor a 54% favorite, by about 1 point.
The two teams
| Team | Overall | Big 12 |
|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 4 today |
| Arizona State | 0–0 | 0–0, seeded 2 today |
What it is worth
Baylor
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 5.6 | 6% | 40% | 83% |
| If Arizona State wins | 6.4 | 3% | 29% | 75% |
| If Baylor wins | 4.9 | 8% | 48% | 89% |
Arizona State
| Avg. seed | No. 1 seed | Double bye | Bye | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 8.6 | 1% | 11% | 47% |
| If Arizona State wins | 7.7 | 1% | 18% | 59% |
| If Baylor wins | 9.4 | <1% | 6% | 37% |
From the same 10,000 simulations as The Race, split by who won this game in each: the two teams' chances, seeded with the full Big 12 procedure, either way it goes. A double bye is a top-four seed, a bye a top-eight seed.