Championship race
Eliminated: BYU, Colorado, Baylor, TCU, Texas Tech, Kansas State, West Virginia, Kansas, Cincinnati, Houston, Arizona, UCF, Utah, Oklahoma State
The percentage is the chance of reaching the championship game, not of winning it or of finishing first. Two teams get there, so these add up to about 200%. Clinch/elimination statuses are proven across all 1 remaining outcomes with the full official tiebreaker procedure; scenario lines are for the upcoming week's games. Reflects real results only — what-if picks don't change it.
Model scorecard
Which rating system picks Big 12 games best? The scorecard starts counting with the first kickoff.