Big 12 Football 202620252024

Unofficial fan tool. Applies the official Big 12 tiebreaking procedures to live results after every game.

What if… pick winners for the 47 remaining games, conference and non-conference

Championship race

66
Chaos Index: Chaotic
0 is a decided race, 100 is a sixteen-way pileup
Built from three parts, each 0 to 1: race entropy 0.48, tie tangle 0.88, still alive 1.00
Texas Tech55.8%3–0, 6 left · 7.5 exp conf wins
BYU51.0%3–0, 6 left · 7.3 exp conf wins
Utah48.9%3–0, 6 left · 7.3 exp conf wins
Houston23.0%3–1, 5 left · 6.4 exp conf wins
Arizona9.0%2–1, 6 left · 5.4 exp conf wins
Oklahoma State6.4%2–1, 6 left · 5.6 exp conf wins
Baylor3.3%2–1, 6 left · 4.6 exp conf wins
TCU1.1%1–2, 6 left · 4.0 exp conf wins
UCF0.5%1–2, 6 left · 4.3 exp conf wins
Kansas State0.4%1–2, 6 left · 4.3 exp conf wins
Iowa State0.3%1–2, 6 left · 3.5 exp conf wins
Cincinnati0.2%1–2, 6 left · 2.8 exp conf wins
Arizona State<0.1%1–2, 6 left · 2.8 exp conf wins
Kansas<0.1%0–3, 6 left · 2.4 exp conf wins
West Virginia0%1–3, 5 left · 2.0 exp conf wins
Colorado0%0–3, 6 left · 1.8 exp conf wins

The percentage is the chance of reaching the championship game, not of winning it or of finishing first. Two teams get there, so these add up to about 200%. Clinch/elimination statuses are proven by strict win-count arithmetic — no tiebreaker can undo them. Exhaustive scenario math unlocks when the remaining schedule becomes enumerable. Percentages are championship-game odds from 40,000 season simulations (win probabilities from an ensemble of Big12ology (2026), Elo (2026), FPI (2026), SP+ (2026), SRS (2026)); proofs override odds. Reflects real results until you pick a game; from then on it re-runs in your browser on the season your picks describe.

Conference standings · 25 of 72 games played

Sort:
TeamConfPctNon-confOverall
1BYU13–01.0003–06–0
2Texas Tech13–01.0003–06–0
3Utah13–01.0003–06–0
4Houston3–10.7503–06–1
5Arizona22–10.6673–05–1
6Oklahoma State22–10.6672–14–2
7Baylor22–10.6672–14–2
8Iowa State31–20.3332–13–3
9TCU31–20.3332–13–3
10UCF31–20.3332–13–3
11Arizona State31–20.3332–13–3
12Cincinnati31–20.3333–04–2
13Kansas State31–20.3333–04–2
14West Virginia1–30.2503–04–3
15Colorado40–30.0002–12–4
16Kansas40–30.0002–12–4
1 How the three-way tie breaks — BYU, Texas Tech and Utah
  1. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: BYU 4-5 (0.444), Texas Tech 4-6 (0.400), Utah 1-8 (0.111) — BYU seeded.
  5. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Texas Tech, Utah.
  6. (a) Head-to-head: Texas Tech and Utah did not play.
  7. (b) vs common opponents (Colorado): Texas Tech 1.000, Utah 1.000 — still tied.
  8. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  9. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Texas Tech 4-6 (0.400), Utah 1-8 (0.111) — Texas Tech seeded.
2 How the three-way tie breaks — Arizona, Baylor and Oklahoma State
  1. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) vs [Arizona State/Cincinnati/Iowa State/Kansas State/TCU/UCF]: Arizona 1-0, Baylor 1-1, Oklahoma State 1-0 — separates some but no single leader; continuing down the standings.
  4. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  5. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Arizona 5-5 (0.500), Baylor 2-7 (0.222), Oklahoma State 5-6 (0.455) — Arizona seeded.
  6. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Baylor, Oklahoma State.
  7. (a) Head-to-head: Baylor and Oklahoma State did not play.
  8. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  9. (c) vs next-highest-placed common opponent group [Arizona State/Cincinnati/Iowa State/Kansas State/TCU/UCF]: Baylor 1-1, Oklahoma State 1-0 — Oklahoma State seeded.
3 How the six-way tie breaks — Arizona State, Cincinnati, Iowa State, Kansas State, TCU and UCF
  1. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Arizona State 5-4 (0.556), Cincinnati 4-6 (0.400), Iowa State 7-3 (0.700), Kansas State 4-6 (0.400), TCU 6-3 (0.667), UCF 6-4 (0.600) — Iowa State seeded.
  5. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Arizona State, Cincinnati, Kansas State, TCU, UCF.
  6. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  7. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  8. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  9. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Arizona State 5-4 (0.556), Cincinnati 4-6 (0.400), Kansas State 4-6 (0.400), TCU 6-3 (0.667), UCF 6-4 (0.600) — TCU seeded.
  10. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Arizona State, Cincinnati, Kansas State, UCF.
  11. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  12. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  13. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  14. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Arizona State 5-4 (0.556), Cincinnati 4-6 (0.400), Kansas State 4-6 (0.400), UCF 6-4 (0.600) — UCF seeded.
  15. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Arizona State, Cincinnati, Kansas State.
  16. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  17. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  18. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  19. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Arizona State 5-4 (0.556), Cincinnati 4-6 (0.400), Kansas State 4-6 (0.400) — Arizona State seeded.
  20. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Cincinnati, Kansas State.
  21. (a) Head-to-head: Cincinnati defeated Kansas State.
4 How the two-way tie breaks — Colorado and Kansas
  1. (a) Head-to-head: Colorado and Kansas did not play.
  2. (b) vs common opponents (Utah): Colorado 0.000, Kansas 0.000 — still tied.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Colorado 8-1 (0.889), Kansas 5-4 (0.556) — Colorado seeded.

The conference breaks ties only to name the two championship-game participants; positions below that stay tied in its official standings. This table sorts every tie for readability — see The Standings for both boards side by side.

Why is my team where they are?

Follows your what-if picks when they're active. Full walkthrough of the procedure: The Rules.