Kansas Jayhawks
2-4 overall · 0-3 Big 12 · 16th in the standings
Title-game odds from 40,000 season simulations on the blend of 5 rating systems, the same run behind The Race. The sparkline is the number as it was published each week.
The schedule
Long Island University 6 
Missouri 38 
Middle Tennessee 0 
Every game, conference and not. Played games carry the model's line and the market's as they stood before kickoff, from the week's forecast record, against the result. Unplayed games carry the blend and the market as of this build.
What matters next
KU's own games
| Game | if KU wins | if KU loses | swing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 12 |  BYU at Kansas | 0.1% | 0.0% | +0 |
| Wk 13 | Kansas at  Oklahoma State | 0.1% | 0.0% | +0 |
| Wk 9 | Kansas at  TCU | 0.1% | 0.0% | +0 |
| Wk 8 |  Baylor at Kansas | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0 |
| Wk 10 |  UCF at Kansas | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0 |
| Wk 11 | Kansas at  West Virginia | 0.0% | 0.0% | +0 |
Kansas's title-game odds under each result, in points of probability, read off the seasons in the baseline run where it went that way: what the board would say on Sunday. A game's own preview shows the other reading, the result asserted and the season run around it.
The Nerds on KU
| System | rating (pts) | in the Big 12 | picking KU games |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ (2026) | +4.4 | 10 of 16 | 5-0 |
| FPI (2026) | +1.4 | 12 of 16 | 5-0 |
| Elo (2026) | +3.0 | 10 of 16 | 5-0 |
| SRS (2026) | -2.7 | 14 of 16 | 6-0 |
| Big12ology (2026) | +1.1 | 11 of 16 | 4-0 |
| Vegas | — | — | 6-0 |
Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in Kansas's games this season, as it stood before kickoff. See The Model.
The draw and the rotation
Expected conference wins on this slate: 3.5, -0.09 against the same team on the average draw, the 6th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for KU would be TCU's (3.1), easiest Texas Tech's (4.1).
Misses this season:
Colorado last met 2024
Houston last met 2024
Arizona last met 2025
Cincinnati last met 2025
Iowa State last met 2025
Texas Tech last met 2025
From The Draw and The Rotation.
Home gates
- Wk 1 vs Long Island University: 30,904 (94°F)
- Wk 2 vs Missouri: 32,000 (80°F)
- Wk 5 vs Middle Tennessee: 32,000 (64°F)
| Season | home games | average | best |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6 | 39,408 | 56,470 |
| 2025 | 7 | 39,478 | 41,525 |
| 2026 | 3 | 31,635 | 32,000 |
From Attendance.
In the Big 12
| Season | conf. | overall | finish | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 0-9 | 2-10 | 10 | |
| 2012 | 0-9 | 1-11 | 10 | |
| 2013 | 1-8 | 3-9 | 10 | |
| 2014 | 1-8 | 3-9 | 9 | |
| 2015 | 0-9 | 0-12 | 10 | |
| 2016 | 1-8 | 2-10 | 10 | |
| 2017 | 0-9 | 1-11 | 10 | |
| 2018 | 1-8 | 3-9 | 10 | |
| 2019 | 1-8 | 3-9 | 10 | |
| 2021 | 1-8 | 2-10 | 10 | |
| 2022 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 8 | |
| 2023 | 5-4 | 8-4 | 8 | |
| 2024 | 4-5 | 5-7 | 10 | |
| 2025 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 12 |
Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.