Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

Unofficial fan tool. Applies the official Big 12 tiebreaking procedures to live results after every game.

What if… pick winners for the 54 remaining games, conference and non-conference

Championship race

72
Chaos Index: Chaotic
0 is a decided race, 100 is a sixteen-way pileup
Built from three parts, each 0 to 1: race entropy 0.53, tie tangle 1.00, still alive 1.00
Utah51.8%2–0, 7 left · 7.4 exp conf wins
Texas Tech50.7%2–0, 7 left · 7.3 exp conf wins
BYU45.5%3–0, 6 left · 7.1 exp conf wins
Houston19.1%2–1, 6 left · 6.2 exp conf wins
Oklahoma State11.4%2–0, 7 left · 5.8 exp conf wins
Baylor10.7%2–0, 7 left · 5.4 exp conf wins
Arizona8.0%2–1, 6 left · 5.4 exp conf wins
Cincinnati0.6%1–1, 7 left · 3.3 exp conf wins
UCF0.6%1–2, 6 left · 4.3 exp conf wins
TCU0.4%0–2, 7 left · 3.2 exp conf wins
Iowa State0.4%1–2, 6 left · 3.5 exp conf wins
Arizona State0.3%1–1, 7 left · 3.1 exp conf wins
Kansas State0.2%0–2, 7 left · 3.8 exp conf wins
Kansas0.2%0–2, 7 left · 2.9 exp conf wins
Colorado<0.1%0–2, 7 left · 1.7 exp conf wins
West Virginia0%0–3, 6 left · 1.5 exp conf wins

The percentage is the chance of reaching the championship game, not of winning it or of finishing first. Two teams get there, so these add up to about 200%. Clinch/elimination statuses are proven by strict win-count arithmetic — no tiebreaker can undo them. Exhaustive scenario math unlocks when the remaining schedule becomes enumerable. Percentages are championship-game odds from 40,000 season simulations (win probabilities from an ensemble of Big12ology (2026), Elo (2026), FPI (2026), SP+ (2026), SRS (2026)); proofs override odds. Reflects real results until you pick a game; from then on it re-runs in your browser on the season your picks describe.

Conference standings · 19 of 72 games played

Sort:
TeamConfPctNon-confOverall
1Texas Tech12–01.0003–05–0
2BYU13–01.0002–05–0
3Baylor12–01.0002–14–1
4Utah12–01.0003–05–0
5Oklahoma State12–01.0002–14–1
6Arizona22–10.6673–05–1
7Houston22–10.6673–05–1
8Arizona State31–10.5002–13–2
9Cincinnati31–10.5003–04–1
10Iowa State41–20.3332–13–3
11UCF41–20.3332–13–3
12Colorado50–20.0002–12–3
13Kansas50–20.0002–12–3
14TCU50–20.0002–12–3
15West Virginia50–30.0003–03–3
16Kansas State50–20.0003–03–2
1 How the five-way tie breaks — BYU, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech and Utah
  1. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: BYU 3-5 (0.375), Baylor 1-3 (0.250), Oklahoma State 1-5 (0.167), Texas Tech 2-3 (0.400), Utah 1-4 (0.200) — Texas Tech seeded.
  5. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: BYU, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Utah.
  6. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  7. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  8. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  9. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: BYU 3-5 (0.375), Baylor 1-3 (0.250), Oklahoma State 1-5 (0.167), Utah 1-4 (0.200) — BYU seeded.
  10. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Baylor, Oklahoma State, Utah.
  11. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  12. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  13. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  14. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Baylor 1-3 (0.250), Oklahoma State 1-5 (0.167), Utah 1-4 (0.200) — Baylor seeded.
  15. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Oklahoma State, Utah.
  16. (a) Head-to-head: Oklahoma State and Utah did not play.
  17. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  18. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  19. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Oklahoma State 1-5 (0.167), Utah 1-4 (0.200) — Utah seeded.
2 How the two-way tie breaks — Arizona and Houston
  1. (a) Head-to-head: Arizona and Houston did not play.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Arizona 4-4 (0.500), Houston 3-4 (0.429) — Arizona seeded.
3 How the two-way tie breaks — Arizona State and Cincinnati
  1. (a) Head-to-head: Arizona State and Cincinnati did not play.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Arizona State 2-2 (0.500), Cincinnati 2-3 (0.400) — Arizona State seeded.
4 How the two-way tie breaks — Iowa State and UCF
  1. (a) Head-to-head: Iowa State and UCF did not play.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Iowa State 5-3 (0.625), UCF 4-3 (0.571) — Iowa State seeded.
5 How the five-way tie breaks — Colorado, Kansas, Kansas State, TCU and West Virginia
  1. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Colorado 4-0 (1.000), Kansas 3-1 (0.750), Kansas State 3-2 (0.600), TCU 4-2 (0.667), West Virginia 5-3 (0.625) — Colorado seeded.
  5. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Kansas, Kansas State, TCU, West Virginia.
  6. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  7. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  8. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  9. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Kansas 3-1 (0.750), Kansas State 3-2 (0.600), TCU 4-2 (0.667), West Virginia 5-3 (0.625) — Kansas seeded.
  10. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Kansas State, TCU, West Virginia.
  11. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  12. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  13. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  14. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Kansas State 3-2 (0.600), TCU 4-2 (0.667), West Virginia 5-3 (0.625) — TCU seeded.
  15. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Kansas State, West Virginia.
  16. (a) Head-to-head: Kansas State and West Virginia did not play.
  17. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  18. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  19. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Kansas State 3-2 (0.600), West Virginia 5-3 (0.625) — West Virginia seeded.

The conference breaks ties only to name the two championship-game participants; positions below that stay tied in its official standings. This table sorts every tie for readability — see The Standings for both boards side by side.

Why is my team where they are?

Follows your what-if picks when they're active. Full walkthrough of the procedure: The Rules.