What if… pick winners for the 120 remaining games, conference and non-conference
Championship race what-if
Texas Tech56.6%0–0, 9 left · 7.3 exp conf wins
BYU26.6%0–0, 9 left · 5.9 exp conf wins
Utah25.0%0–0, 9 left · 5.9 exp conf wins
Kansas State13.4%0–0, 9 left · 5.0 exp conf wins
Arizona13.0%0–0, 9 left · 4.8 exp conf wins
TCU11.7%0–0, 9 left · 4.6 exp conf wins
Houston9.5%0–0, 9 left · 4.6 exp conf wins
Arizona State7.4%0–0, 9 left · 4.3 exp conf wins
Iowa State6.1%0–0, 9 left · 4.1 exp conf wins
Baylor5.9%0–0, 9 left · 3.9 exp conf wins
Kansas5.8%0–0, 9 left · 4.0 exp conf wins
UCF5.7%0–0, 9 left · 3.9 exp conf wins
Cincinnati5.0%0–0, 9 left · 3.6 exp conf wins
Colorado4.3%0–0, 9 left · 3.5 exp conf wins
Oklahoma State3.1%0–0, 9 left · 3.3 exp conf wins
West Virginia2.2%0–0, 9 left · 3.1 exp conf winsThe percentage is the chance of reaching the championship game, not of winning it or of finishing first. Two teams get there, so these add up to about 200%. Clinch/elimination statuses are proven by strict win-count arithmetic — no tiebreaker can undo them. Exhaustive scenario math unlocks when the remaining schedule becomes enumerable. Percentages are championship-game odds from 10,000 season simulations (win probabilities from an ensemble of Elo (2025), FPI (2026), SP+ (2026), SRS (2025)); proofs override odds. Elo, SRS have not published for this season yet, so those ratings are last season's finals, regressed toward the mean. Simulations also draw each team's true strength rather than trusting its rating exactly, which is why early-season odds sit closer to even than the ratings alone would suggest. Reflects real results until you pick a game; from then on it re-runs in your browser on the season your picks describe.
Conference standings · 0 of 72 games played what-if
| Team | Conf | Pct | Non-conf | Overall | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | Arizona | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Arizona State | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | BYU | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Baylor | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Cincinnati | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Colorado | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Houston | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Iowa State | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Kansas | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Kansas State | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Oklahoma State | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | TCU | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Texas Tech | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | UCF | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | Utah | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| — | West Virginia | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | 0–0 |
No ties in the standings.
The conference breaks ties only to name the two championship-game participants; positions below that stay tied in its official standings. This table sorts every tie for readability — see The Standings for both boards side by side.
Why is my team where they are? what-if
Follows your what-if picks when they're active. Full walkthrough of the procedure: The Rules.