Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

Unofficial fan tool. Applies the official Big 12 tiebreaking procedures to live results after every game.

What if… pick winners for the 60 remaining games, conference and non-conference

Championship race

75
Chaos Index: Pandemonium
0 is a decided race, 100 is a sixteen-way pileup
Built from three parts, each 0 to 1: race entropy 0.59, tie tangle 1.00, still alive 1.00
Utah54.7%1–0, 8 left · 7.3 exp conf wins
Texas Tech54.5%2–0, 7 left · 7.3 exp conf wins
BYU36.9%2–0, 7 left · 6.7 exp conf wins
Baylor13.0%2–0, 7 left · 5.4 exp conf wins
Houston10.9%1–1, 7 left · 5.3 exp conf wins
Oklahoma State8.3%1–0, 8 left · 5.1 exp conf wins
UCF7.2%1–1, 7 left · 5.2 exp conf wins
Kansas State5.3%0–1, 8 left · 4.9 exp conf wins
Arizona4.8%1–1, 7 left · 4.7 exp conf wins
Iowa State1.9%1–1, 7 left · 3.8 exp conf wins
Cincinnati1.1%1–1, 7 left · 3.5 exp conf wins
TCU0.6%0–2, 7 left · 3.1 exp conf wins
Kansas0.6%0–1, 8 left · 2.7 exp conf wins
Arizona State0.3%1–1, 7 left · 3.1 exp conf wins
West Virginia<0.1%0–2, 7 left · 2.2 exp conf wins
Colorado<0.1%0–2, 7 left · 1.6 exp conf wins

The percentage is the chance of reaching the championship game, not of winning it or of finishing first. Two teams get there, so these add up to about 200%. Clinch/elimination statuses are proven by strict win-count arithmetic — no tiebreaker can undo them. Exhaustive scenario math unlocks when the remaining schedule becomes enumerable. Percentages are championship-game odds from 40,000 season simulations (win probabilities from an ensemble of Big12ology (2026), Elo (2026), FPI (2026), SP+ (2026), SRS (2026)); proofs override odds. Reflects real results until you pick a game; from then on it re-runs in your browser on the season your picks describe.

Conference standings · 14 of 72 games played

Sort:
TeamConfPctNon-confOverall
1Utah11–01.0003–04–0
2Texas Tech12–01.0003–05–0
T3BYU12–01.0002–04–0
T3Baylor12–01.0002–14–1
T3Oklahoma State11–01.0002–13–1
T6Arizona21–10.5003–04–1
T6Arizona State21–10.5001–12–2
T6Cincinnati21–10.5003–04–1
T6Houston21–10.5003–04–1
T6Iowa State21–10.5002–13–2
T6UCF21–10.5002–13–2
12Colorado30–20.0002–12–3
13TCU30–20.0002–12–3
14West Virginia30–20.0003–03–2
15Kansas State30–10.0003–03–1
16Kansas30–10.0002–12–2
1 How the five-way tie breaks — BYU, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech and Utah
  1. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: BYU 1-3 (0.250), Baylor 1-3 (0.250), Oklahoma State 0-2 (0.000), Texas Tech 1-3 (0.250), Utah 1-1 (0.500) — Utah seeded.
  5. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: BYU, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech.
  6. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  7. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  8. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  9. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: BYU 1-3 (0.250), Baylor 1-3 (0.250), Oklahoma State 0-2 (0.000), Texas Tech 1-3 (0.250) — still tied.
  10. (e) Total wins (max one FCS win): BYU 4, Baylor 4, Oklahoma State 3, Texas Tech 5 — Texas Tech seeded.
  11. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: BYU, Baylor, Oklahoma State.
  12. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  13. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  14. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  15. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: BYU 1-3 (0.250), Baylor 1-3 (0.250), Oklahoma State 0-2 (0.000) — still tied.
  16. (e) Total wins (max one FCS win): BYU 4, Baylor 4, Oklahoma State 3 — still tied.
  17. (f) SportSource Analytics rating: not available — cannot be resolved automatically.
  18. (g) Coin toss required — awaiting result.
  19. UNRESOLVED: BYU, Baylor, Oklahoma State cannot be separated with available data.
2 How the six-way tie breaks — Arizona, Arizona State, Cincinnati, Houston, Iowa State and UCF
  1. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Arizona 3-1 (0.750), Arizona State 2-1 (0.667), Cincinnati 1-2 (0.333), Houston 3-1 (0.750), Iowa State 1-2 (0.333), UCF 1-3 (0.250) — still tied.
  5. (e) Total wins (max one FCS win): Arizona 4, Arizona State 2, Cincinnati 4, Houston 4, Iowa State 3, UCF 3 — still tied.
  6. (f) SportSource Analytics rating: not available — cannot be resolved automatically.
  7. (g) Coin toss required — awaiting result.
  8. UNRESOLVED: Arizona, Arizona State, Cincinnati, Houston, Iowa State, UCF cannot be separated with available data.
3 How the five-way tie breaks — Colorado, Kansas, Kansas State, TCU and West Virginia
  1. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  4. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Colorado 4-0 (1.000), Kansas 1-1 (0.500), Kansas State 1-1 (0.500), TCU 3-1 (0.750), West Virginia 2-1 (0.667) — Colorado seeded.
  5. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Kansas, Kansas State, TCU, West Virginia.
  6. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  7. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  8. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  9. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Kansas 1-1 (0.500), Kansas State 1-1 (0.500), TCU 3-1 (0.750), West Virginia 2-1 (0.667) — TCU seeded.
  10. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Kansas, Kansas State, West Virginia.
  11. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  12. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  13. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  14. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Kansas 1-1 (0.500), Kansas State 1-1 (0.500), West Virginia 2-1 (0.667) — West Virginia seeded.
  15. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Kansas, Kansas State.
  16. (a) Head-to-head: Kansas and Kansas State did not play.
  17. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  18. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  19. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Kansas 1-1 (0.500), Kansas State 1-1 (0.500) — still tied.
  20. (e) Total wins (max one FCS win): Kansas 2, Kansas State 3 — Kansas State seeded.

The conference breaks ties only to name the two championship-game participants; positions below that stay tied in its official standings. This table sorts every tie for readability — see The Standings for both boards side by side.

Why is my team where they are?

Follows your what-if picks when they're active. Full walkthrough of the procedure: The Rules.