Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

What if… rewrite any of the 119 games this season and watch the tiebreakers answer

Championship race

0
Chaos Index: Settled
0 is a decided race, 100 is a sixteen-way pileup
Built from three parts, each 0 to 1: race entropy 0.00, tie tangle 0.00, still alive 0.00
BYU100%clinched8–1, 0 left
Texas Tech100%clinched8–1, 0 left

Eliminated: Utah, Arizona, Arizona State, Houston, Cincinnati, Iowa State, Kansas State, TCU, Baylor, Kansas, UCF, West Virginia, Colorado, Oklahoma State

The percentage is the chance of reaching the championship game, not of winning it or of finishing first. Two teams get there, so these add up to about 200%. Clinch/elimination statuses are proven across all 1 remaining outcomes with the full official tiebreaker procedure; scenario lines are for the upcoming week's games. Percentages are championship-game odds from 10,000 season simulations (win probabilities from an ensemble of Elo (2025), SP+ (2025), SRS (2025)); proofs override odds. Reflects real results until you pick a game; from then on it re-runs in your browser on the season your picks describe.

Conference standings · 72 of 72 games played

Sort:
TeamConfPctNon-confOverall
1Texas Tech18–10.8893–012–1
2BYU18–10.8893–011–2
3Utah7–20.7783–010–2
4Houston26–30.6673–09–3
5Arizona26–30.6673–09–3
6Arizona State26–30.6672–18–4
7TCU35–40.5563–08–4
8Iowa State35–40.5563–08–4
9Cincinnati35–40.5562–17–5
10Kansas State35–40.5561–26–6
11Baylor43–60.3332–15–7
12Kansas43–60.3332–15–7
13UCF52–70.2223–05–7
14West Virginia52–70.2222–14–8
15Colorado1–80.1112–13–9
16Oklahoma State0–90.0001–21–11
1 How the two-way tie breaks — BYU and Texas Tech
  1. (a) Head-to-head: Texas Tech defeated BYU.
2 How the three-way tie breaks — Arizona, Arizona State and Houston
  1. (a) Record among tied teams: Arizona 0.500, Arizona State 0.000, Houston 1.000 — Houston seeded.
  2. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Arizona, Arizona State.
  3. (a) Head-to-head: Arizona defeated Arizona State.
3 How the four-way tie breaks — Cincinnati, Iowa State, Kansas State and TCU
  1. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  2. (b) Common conference opponents: none — proceed.
  3. (c) vs [Baylor/Kansas]: Cincinnati 2-0, Iowa State 1-0, Kansas State 1-1, TCU 1-0 — separates some but no single leader; continuing down the standings.
  4. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  5. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Cincinnati 39-42 (0.481), Iowa State 39-42 (0.481), Kansas State 34-47 (0.420), TCU 41-40 (0.506) — TCU seeded.
  6. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Cincinnati, Iowa State, Kansas State.
  7. (a) Not all tied teams played each other and no team defeated all others — proceed to next step.
  8. (b) vs common opponents (Kansas, Oklahoma State, TCU): Cincinnati 0.667, Iowa State 1.000, Kansas State 1.000 — still tied.
  9. (c) vs [TCU]: Cincinnati 0-1, Iowa State 1-0, Kansas State 1-0 — separates some but no single leader; continuing down the standings.
  10. (c) vs [Baylor/Kansas]: Cincinnati 2-0, Iowa State 1-0, Kansas State 1-1 — separates some but no single leader; continuing down the standings.
  11. (c) Walked full standings without a single leader — proceed.
  12. (d) Opponents' combined conference record: Cincinnati 39-42 (0.481), Iowa State 39-42 (0.481), Kansas State 34-47 (0.420) — still tied.
  13. (e) Total wins (max one FCS win): Cincinnati 7, Iowa State 8, Kansas State 6 — Iowa State seeded.
  14. Restarting procedure for remaining tied teams: Cincinnati, Kansas State.
  15. (a) Head-to-head: Cincinnati and Kansas State did not play.
  16. (b) vs common opponents (Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Oklahoma State, TCU, UCF, Utah): Cincinnati 0.714, Kansas State 0.571 — Cincinnati seeded.
4 How the two-way tie breaks — Baylor and Kansas
  1. (a) Head-to-head: Baylor and Kansas did not play.
  2. (b) vs common opponents (Arizona, Cincinnati, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, UCF, Utah): Baylor 0.500, Kansas 0.333 — Baylor seeded.
5 How the two-way tie breaks — UCF and West Virginia
  1. (a) Head-to-head: UCF defeated West Virginia.

The conference breaks ties only to name the two championship-game participants; positions below that stay tied in its official standings. This table sorts every tie for readability — see The Standings for both boards side by side.

Why is my team where they are?

Follows your what-if picks when they're active. Full walkthrough of the procedure: The Rules.