Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

BYU Cougars

11-2 overall · 8-1 Big 12 · 2nd in the standings · lost the title game 34-7 vs Texas Tech

The schedule

Week 1
Portland State 0 at BYU 69 non-conf
final
LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT
Average 75°F, 4 mph, 21% rain
BYU -44
model BYU +52.2 · actual +69 · covered by 16.8
Week 2
Stanford 3 at BYU 27 non-conf
final
LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT
Average 71°F, 4 mph, 17% rain
BYU -20.5
model BYU +23.1 · actual +24 · covered by 0.9
Week 4
BYU 34 at East Carolina 13 non-conf
final
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC
Average 72°F, 6 mph, 48% rain
BYU -6.2
model BYU +5.3 · actual +21 · covered by 15.7
Week 5
BYU 24 at Colorado 21
final
Folsom Field · Boulder, CO
Average 61°F, 5 mph, 23% rain
BYU -6.5
model BYU +16.5 · actual +3 · fell short by 13.5
Week 6
final
LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT
Average 55°F, 4 mph, 29% rain
BYU -19.7
model BYU +21.4 · actual +14 · fell short by 7.4
Week 7
BYU 33 at Arizona 27
final
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ
Average 77°F, 5 mph, 17% rain
BYU -2.5
model BYU +0.7 · actual +6 · covered by 5.3
Week 8
Utah 21 at BYU 24
final
LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT
Average 48°F, 3 mph, 26% rain
Utah -4.5
model BYU -4.6 · actual +3 · covered by 7.6
Week 9
BYU 41 at Iowa State 27
final
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Average 50°F, 10 mph, 31% rain
Iowa State -2.5
model BYU +2.9 · actual +14 · covered by 11.1
Week 11
BYU 7 at Texas Tech 29
final
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX
Average 55°F, 9 mph, 17% rain
Texas Tech -13.5
model BYU -12.5 · actual -22 · fell short by 9.5
Week 12
TCU 13 at BYU 44
final
LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT
Average 36°F, 3 mph, 34% rain
BYU -2.8
model BYU +8.0 · actual +31 · covered by 23.0
Week 13
BYU 26 at Cincinnati 14
final
Nippert Stadium · Cincinnati, OH
Average 42°F, 8 mph, 43% rain
BYU -2.5
model BYU +8.9 · actual +12 · covered by 3.1
Week 14
UCF 21 at BYU 41
final
LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT
Average 36°F, 3 mph, 34% rain
BYU -17.5
model BYU +17.0 · actual +20 · covered by 3.0

Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.

The Nerds on BYU

Systemrating (pts)in the Big 12picking BYU games
SP+ (2025)+14.13 of 1610-1
Elo (2025)+8.73 of 1610-1
SRS (2025)+13.73 of 1611-1
Vegas10-2

Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in BYU's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.

The draw and the rotation

Expected conference wins on this slate: 5.8, -0.52 against the same team on the average draw, the 2nd hardest of 16. Hardest slate for BYU would be Arizona State's (5.9), easiest Arizona's (6.9).

Misses this season:

From The Draw and The Rotation.

Home gates

  • Wk 1 vs Portland State: 64,494 (77°F)
  • Wk 2 vs Stanford: 64,692 (72°F)
  • Wk 6 vs West Virginia: 63,917 (61°F)
  • Wk 8 vs Utah: 64,794 (56°F)
  • Wk 12 vs TCU: 64,447 (53°F)
  • Wk 14 vs UCF: 60,389 (41°F)
Seasonhome gamesaveragebest
2023661,94463,834
2024662,84864,420
2025663,78964,794

From Attendance.

In the Big 12

Seasonconf.overallfinish
20232-75-711
20247-210-23

Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.