UCF Knights
5-7 overall · 2-7 Big 12 · 13th in the standings
The schedule
North Carolina 9 
Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.
The Nerds on UCF
| System | rating (pts) | in the Big 12 | picking UCF games |
|---|---|---|---|
| SP+ (2025) | -3.0 | 13 of 16 | 11-0 |
| Elo (2025) | -2.5 | 13 of 16 | 11-0 |
| SRS (2025) | -2.1 | 13 of 16 | 12-0 |
| Vegas | — | — | 11-1 |
Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in UCF's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.
The draw and the rotation
Expected conference wins on this slate: 3.4, +0.34 against the same team on the average draw, the 14th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for UCF would be Colorado's (2.4), easiest Houston's (3.7).
Misses this season:
Arizona last met 2024
Arizona State last met 2024
Colorado last met 2024
Iowa State last met 2024
TCU last met 2024
Utah last met 2024
From The Draw and The Rotation.
Home gates
- Wk 1 vs Jacksonville State: 43,043 (77°F)
- Wk 2 vs North Carolina A&T: 44,009 (79°F)
- Wk 4 vs North Carolina: 44,206 (87°F)
- Wk 6 vs Kansas: 43,229 (77°F)
- Wk 8 vs West Virginia: 43,445 (81°F)
- Wk 11 vs Houston: 44,206 (72°F)
- Wk 13 vs Oklahoma State: 41,723 (80°F)
| Season | home games | average | best |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 6 | 44,015 | 44,206 |
| 2024 | 7 | 43,047 | 45,702 |
| 2025 | 7 | 43,409 | 44,206 |
From Attendance.
In the Big 12
| Season | conf. | overall | finish | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 10 | |
| 2024 | 2-7 | 4-8 | 13 |
Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.