Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

Kansas Jayhawks

5-7 overall · 3-6 Big 12 · 12th in the standings

The schedule

Week 1
Fresno State 7 at Kansas 31 non-conf
final
Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Average 77°F, 6 mph, 47% rain
Kansas -14.2
model KU +4.7 · actual +24 · covered by 19.3
Week 1
Wagner 7 at Kansas 46 non-conf
final
Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Average 77°F, 6 mph, 47% rain
Kansas -46
model KU +46.1 · actual +39 · fell short by 7.1
Week 2
Kansas 31 at Missouri 42 non-conf
final
Memorial Stadium · Columbia, MO
Average 72°F, 6 mph, 28% rain
Missouri -6.3
model KU -11.1 · actual -11 · covered by 0.1
Week 4
final
Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Average 71°F, 7 mph, 33% rain
Kansas -12.8
model KU +10.7 · actual +31 · covered by 20.3
Week 5
final
Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Average 71°F, 7 mph, 33% rain
Kansas -5.2
model KU +2.9 · actual -3 · fell short by 5.9
Week 6
Kansas 27 at UCF 20
final
FBC Mortgage Stadium · Orlando, FL
Average 76°F, 7 mph, 72% rain
Kansas -3.8
model KU +1.6 · actual +7 · covered by 5.4
Week 7
final
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX
Average 68°F, 10 mph, 27% rain
Texas Tech -13.5
model KU -23.2 · actual -25 · fell short by 1.8
Week 9
final
Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Average 55°F, 9 mph, 28% rain
Kansas -3.5
model KU -1.9 · actual -25 · fell short by 23.1
Week 10
final
Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Average 48°F, 8 mph, 26% rain
Kansas -24.7
model KU +18.6 · actual +17 · fell short by 1.6
Week 11
Kansas 20 at Arizona 24
final
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ
Average 65°F, 5 mph, 7% rain
Arizona -5.8
model KU -10.1 · actual -4 · covered by 6.1
Week 13
final
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Average 37°F, 10 mph, 28% rain
Iowa State -3.3
model KU -7.8 · actual -24 · fell short by 16.2
Week 14
Utah 31 at Kansas 21
final
Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Average 43°F, 8 mph, 26% rain
Utah -10.2
model KU -15.4 · actual -10 · covered by 5.4

Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.

The Nerds on KU

Systemrating (pts)in the Big 12picking KU games
SP+ (2025)+2.310 of 1610-1
Elo (2025)+0.09 of 1610-1
SRS (2025)+1.910 of 1611-1
Vegas10-2

Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in Kansas's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.

The draw and the rotation

Expected conference wins on this slate: 4.0, -0.02 against the same team on the average draw, the 8th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for KU would be Colorado's (3.2), easiest Houston's (4.7).

Misses this season:

From The Draw and The Rotation.

Home gates

  • Wk 0 vs Fresno State: 41,525 (83°F)
  • Wk 1 vs Wagner: 39,129 (80°F)
  • Wk 4 vs West Virginia: 40,320 (79°F)
  • Wk 5 vs Cincinnati: 41,525 (74°F)
  • Wk 9 vs Kansas State: 41,525 (53°F)
  • Wk 10 vs Oklahoma State: 39,511 (50°F)
  • Wk 14 vs Utah: 32,811 (32°F)
Seasonhome gamesaveragebest
2023745,99147,233
2024639,40856,470
2025739,47841,525

From Attendance.

In the Big 12

Seasonconf.overallfinish
20110-92-1010
20120-91-1110
20131-83-910
20141-83-99
20150-90-1210
20161-82-1010
20170-91-1110
20181-83-910
20191-83-910
20211-82-1010
20223-66-68
20235-48-48
20244-55-710

Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.