Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

Iowa State Cyclones

8-4 overall · 5-4 Big 12 · 8th in the standings

The schedule

Week 1
final
Aviva Stadium · Dublin (neutral)
Average 61°F, 10 mph, 60% rain
Kansas State -3
model ISU +1.2 · actual +3 · covered by 1.8
Week 1
South Dakota 7 at Iowa State 55 non-conf
final
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Average 73°F, 8 mph, 46% rain
Iowa State -15
model ISU +26.8 · actual +48 · covered by 21.2
Week 2
Iowa 13 at Iowa State 16 non-conf
final
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Average 69°F, 8 mph, 33% rain
Iowa State -2.7
model ISU -6.1 · actual +3 · covered by 9.1
Week 3
Iowa State 24 at Arkansas State 16 non-conf
final
Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR
Average 76°F, 6 mph, 33% rain
Iowa State -21
model ISU +14.3 · actual +8 · fell short by 6.3
Week 5
final
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Average 67°F, 9 mph, 42% rain
Iowa State -4
model ISU +0.1 · actual +25 · covered by 24.9
Week 6
final
Nippert Stadium · Cincinnati, OH
Average 63°F, 6 mph, 35% rain
Cincinnati -1.7
model ISU +3.6 · actual -8 · fell short by 11.6
Week 7
final
Folsom Field · Boulder, CO
Average 52°F, 5 mph, 30% rain
Iowa State -2.8
model ISU +11.2 · actual -7 · fell short by 18.2
Week 9
BYU 41 at Iowa State 27
final
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Average 50°F, 10 mph, 31% rain
Iowa State -2.5
model ISU -2.9 · actual -14 · fell short by 11.1
Week 10
final
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Average 43°F, 10 mph, 30% rain
Iowa State -7.8
model ISU +5.9 · actual -5 · fell short by 10.9
Week 11
Iowa State 20 at TCU 17
final
Amon G. Carter Stadium · Fort Worth, TX
Average 60°F, 8 mph, 32% rain
TCU -7.5
model ISU -2.0 · actual +3 · covered by 5.0
Week 13
final
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Average 37°F, 10 mph, 28% rain
Iowa State -3.3
model ISU +7.8 · actual +24 · covered by 16.2
Week 14
final
Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK
Average 49°F, 8 mph, 22% rain
Iowa State -13.8
model ISU +19.4 · actual +7 · fell short by 12.4

Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.

The Nerds on ISU

Systemrating (pts)in the Big 12picking ISU games
SP+ (2025)+8.15 of 166-5
Elo (2025)+4.27 of 164-7
SRS (2025)+8.35 of 165-7
Vegas7-5

Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in Iowa State's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.

The draw and the rotation

Expected conference wins on this slate: 5.5, +0.27 against the same team on the average draw, the 12th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for ISU would be West Virginia's (4.5), easiest Houston's (5.8).

Misses this season:

From The Draw and The Rotation.

Home gates

  • Wk 1 vs South Dakota: 61,500 (79°F)
  • Wk 2 vs Iowa: 61,500 (58°F)
  • Wk 5 vs Arizona: 61,500 (75°F)
  • Wk 9 vs BYU: 61,500 (57°F)
  • Wk 10 vs Arizona State: 60,899 (45°F)
  • Wk 13 vs Kansas: 58,275 (48°F)
Seasonhome gamesaveragebest
2023660,38461,500
2024757,88461,500
2025660,86261,500

From Attendance.

In the Big 12

Seasonconf.overallfinish
20113-66-68
20123-66-69
20132-73-99
20140-92-1010
20152-73-99
20162-73-99
20175-47-57
20186-38-43
20195-47-56
20215-47-54
20221-84-810
20236-37-54
20247-210-32lost the title game 45-19 vs Arizona State

Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.