Big 12 Tiebreaker Tracker 202620252024

The 2025 season as it finished, with the official tiebreaking procedures applied to the final results.

Utah Utes

10-2 overall · 7-2 Big 12 · 3rd in the standings

The schedule

Week 1
Utah 43 at UCLA 10 non-conf
final
Rose Bowl · Pasadena, CA
Average 76°F, 4 mph, 4% rain
Utah -6.5
model UTAH +23.5 · actual +33 · covered by 9.5
Week 2
Cal Poly 9 at Utah 63 non-conf
final
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT
Average 71°F, 5 mph, 14% rain
Utah -42.5
model UTAH +45.4 · actual +54 · covered by 8.6
Week 3
Utah 31 at Wyoming 6 non-conf
final
War Memorial Stadium · Laramie, WY
Average 61°F, 7 mph, 25% rain
Utah -24.5
model UTAH +27.9 · actual +25 · fell short by 2.9
Week 4
Texas Tech 34 at Utah 10
final
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT
Average 63°F, 5 mph, 19% rain
Utah -3.5
model UTAH -0.8 · actual -24 · fell short by 23.2
Week 5
final
Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV
Average 66°F, 5 mph, 53% rain
Utah -13.2
model UTAH +23.7 · actual +34 · covered by 10.3
Week 7
final
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT
Average 55°F, 5 mph, 28% rain
Utah -9.2
model UTAH +18.1 · actual +32 · covered by 13.9
Week 8
Utah 21 at BYU 24
final
LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT
Average 48°F, 3 mph, 26% rain
Utah -4.5
model UTAH +4.6 · actual -3 · fell short by 7.6
Week 9
Colorado 7 at Utah 53
final
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT
Average 48°F, 4 mph, 26% rain
Utah -14.2
model UTAH +28.1 · actual +46 · covered by 17.9
Week 10
Cincinnati 14 at Utah 45
final
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT
Average 44°F, 4 mph, 21% rain
Utah -10.7
model UTAH +20.6 · actual +31 · covered by 10.4
Week 12
Utah 55 at Baylor 28
final
McLane Stadium · Waco, TX
Average 59°F, 8 mph, 31% rain
Utah -9.5
model UTAH +17.3 · actual +27 · covered by 9.7
Week 13
final
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT
Average 36°F, 4 mph, 33% rain
Utah -17.8
model UTAH +15.8 · actual +4 · fell short by 11.8
Week 14
Utah 31 at Kansas 21
final
Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Average 43°F, 8 mph, 26% rain
Utah -10.2
model UTAH +15.4 · actual +10 · fell short by 5.4

Every game, conference and not. Each game carries the blend's line on the season's final ratings against the result: what the systems made of the matchup with the whole season known, not what they said before kickoff.

The Nerds on UTAH

Systemrating (pts)in the Big 12picking UTAH games
SP+ (2025)+20.42 of 1610-1
Elo (2025)+17.12 of 1610-1
SRS (2025)+20.02 of 1610-2
Vegas10-2

Points better than an average FBS team, each system on its own scale. The record is each system's favorite in Utah's games this season, on the season's final ratings. See The Model.

The draw and the rotation

Expected conference wins on this slate: 7.6, -0.07 against the same team on the average draw, the 6th hardest of 16. Hardest slate for UTAH would be BYU's (7.2), easiest Baylor's (8.0).

Misses this season:

From The Draw and The Rotation.

Home gates

  • Wk 2 vs Cal Poly: 51,463 (78°F)
  • Wk 4 vs Texas Tech: 52,236 (71°F)
  • Wk 7 vs Arizona State: 51,444 (44°F)
  • Wk 9 vs Colorado: 51,949 (66°F)
  • Wk 10 vs Cincinnati: 51,672 (51°F)
  • Wk 13 vs Kansas State: 51,444 (47°F)
Seasonhome gamesaveragebest
2023752,49953,644
2024652,96254,383
2025651,70152,236

From Attendance.

In the Big 12

Seasonconf.overallfinish
20242-75-715

Regular season, as the tracker keeps it, with ties left standing. Seasons this team was not in the conference are not listed.